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M'sian market to outperform emerging Asian markets
Publication Date : 15-01-2013
The Malaysian equity market is expected to outperform the emerging Asian markets as price-to-book valuations are relatively low despite the sterling economic growth the country has seen last year, says an economist.
HSBC Global Asset Management (HK) Ltd senior economist and investment strategist Herve Lievore (pic) said emerging Asian markets excluding Singapore had grown by 20-30 per cent last year but the Malaysian equity market only grew by 10 per cent.
“This is abnormal despite the fact the gross domestic product (GDP) growth in 2012 was strong but that should be temporary.
“In 2013, it is expected to perform better than other emerging Asian countries especially in the Asean region,” he told reporters at a media briefing.
He said increasing domestic demand would bode well for future growth.
He also said that the economic structure was strong but the equity market did not respond to that “evolution”.
“I would say that the market has probably been obscure on when the general election would take place but there is no reason why Malaysia underperformed that much.”
He was in favour of pure cyclical plays like commodities, utilities and financials and expected them to outperform defensive stocks.
He noted the timing for financial stocks to be different as banks responded to monetary cycle rather that economic cycle.
He was also positive about the number of companies listed on the local bourse.
“As the market becomes more liquid, it becomes more efficient and hence its attractiveness is increased,” he added.
Last year there were 17 new listings amounting to RM23bil on Bursa Malaysia.
He expected the inflation rate to be at a “benign” level although it might “accelerate moderately” as the consumer price index had stabilised in the past four to five months.
On the ringgit, he expected the currency to appreciate further as long as there was a trade surplus.
“Investors could take profit from stronger growth in the country and appreciation of currency, so, we are positive,” he said.
As for bonds, he expected growth to stabilise at the yield curve of slightly above 3 per cent.
The only concern he had was the declining savings surplus if it were to fall below 8 per cent of GDP.
On the global market, he expected growth to remain subdued with three key risks from the eurozone crisis, China's recovery and the “fiscal cliff” in the United States.
He said the Russian and China markets offered value for investors.