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Exit polls: second largest Indian party BJP win in 4 states in Assembly election

Publication Date : 05-12-2013


The second largest party BJP is set to make a clean sweep in the current high-stakes Assembly elections in four major states, trouncing the Congress in Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh while either winning or having a sharp advantage in Delhi, if the results of a slew of exit polls and post-poll surveys of these states are to be believed.

These exit polls conducted by various poll agencies for different TV channels and other media organisations tonight broadly reflected their pre-election opinion polls and surveys for the four states.

Some exit polls predicted a hung Assembly for the 70-seat Delhi Assembly, projecting an impressive poll debut by the new electoral entrant, the Arvind Kejriwal-led Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) but widely differing on its estimated seats ranging from 6 up to even 31.

Other exit polls gave the BJP a clear victory even in Delhi, even as virtually all such polls predicted the BJP to retain its two-term governments in Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh while wresting Rajasthan from the Congress.

The scheduled counting day for the assembly elections in these four states is on 8 December and for the fifth state Mizoram, where assembly elections took place on November 25, on December 9.  

The outcome of these elections is bound to be significant  as they are perceived to be semi-finals before the April-May 2014 general elections.

Given that these four states were currently evenly divided between the Congress and the BJP - with the Congress ruling in Delhi and Rajasthan and the BJP being in power in Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh - a final score of 4: nil in favour of the BJP is likely to boost its momentum for the Lok Sabha elections besides fuelling the campaign of its Prime Ministerial candidate, Mr Narendra Modi, who did extensive electioneering in these states’ polls.

The CNN-IBN-CSDS-The Week post-poll survey today projected 136-146 seats to the BJP in the 230-member Madhya Pradesh assembly and 45-55 seats to the party in the 90-member Chhattisgarh assembly. It gave the Congress only 67-77 seats in Madhya Pradesh and 32-40 seats in Chhattisgarh.

Today's Chanakya's exit polls gave the BJP a massive majority of 161 seats in Madhya Pradesh, 51 in Chhattisgarh, and a huge 147 in the 200-member Rajasthan assembly. Its forecast for the Congress was only 62 seats in Madhya Pradesh, 39 in Chhattisgarh and a measly 39 in Rajasthan.

Interestingly, it forecast 31 seats for the AAP in the 70-member Delhi assembly, putting it barely five seats short of a simple majority. It gave 29 seats to the BJP and a crushing 10 to the Congress whose 75-year-old chief minister Mrs Sehila Dikshit has been at the helm of affairs of the national capital city-state for the last three terms since 1998. 

Times Now-C-Voter forecast a BJP triumph, giving it 128 seats in Madhya Pradesh, 44 in Chhattisgarh and 130 in Rajasthan. Its survey gave the Congress only 92 seats in Madhya Pradesh, 41 in Chhattisgarh and 48 in Rajasthan. The survey predicted a hung assembly in Delhi, projecting 29 seats for the BJP, 21 for the Congress and 16 for the AAP.



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